Archive for: March, 2011

Making Decisions When the Media are Too Ignorant to Ask the Right Questions

With the threat of a nuclear meltdown in Japan, many of us preppers were frustrated with the media and the lack of information they were giving out. It’s bad enough that today’s journalists know next to nothing about how to properly create and type a story. I mean, the lack of punctuation alone is laughable, but mainly, they seemed to have forgotten how to answer the basic questions of Who, What, Where, When, Why and How.

For most articles today, even in the most revered of news sources, you can often go through the entire article and still not really know what’s happening or why. When the Fukushima reactors started to have thermal runaway, they (US “journalists”) should have been finding out and relating to the US audiences what the potential danger was and what we need to be on the lookout for, in detail. For example, I wanted to know:

  • How much radiation was being leaked into the upper air currents, in real numbers that we could use,
  • What the composition of isotopes we were likely to see,
  • What the path of this radioactive cloud was likely to take, given upper air current,
  • When and Where it was going to likely arrive, and
  • What the levels were likely to be when they reached the west coast of the US.

If there was a “journalist” that tracked down this information and reported on it, I didn’t see it.

It would be easy to discount this lack of information simply as “journalists” thinking that we Americans can’t handle the truth or the real hard facts, but I think it’s more likely that today’s journalists and reporters are just ignorant. I don’t mean to say they’re stupid, rather simply too ignorant about what they’re writing about to know what information to dig deep for.

Here’s a small example, take this local news story: “Radiation Detectors Triggered In Arizona.”

They simply took an excerpt from the Arizona Radiation Regulatory Agency (ARRA) and ran with it:

“The average background radiation can range from 100-300 millirems per year,” according to Aubrey Godwin, director of the ARRA. “The amount of additional radiation we are seeing in Arizona is less than 0.1 millirem. Such low concentrations of iodine-131 do not pose a public health threat to Arizonans.”

They didn’t bother to run the numbers themselves. Whatever happen to researching to make sure the facts are correct?

Here’s what I’m talking about. If you go to the ARRA news release of how much radiation that they are detecting, the largest amount of radiation detected is 0.69 pCi/M3 of Iodine-131. Actually, my first issue with this is that the use of Curies and Becquerels is difficult for the non-geek population (which is just about everyone) to convert into something that can be related to, like Grays, Sieverts or even the old standby of REMs. Granted, 99% of the population doesn’t know what those terms mean either, but for those of us preparedness-minded enough to learn about this sort of thing, it makes it easier to deal with.

In fact, I can make a case that it would be much better if they would use terms that even a few of us (preppers, survivalists, etc.) can understand, because in this case, it was clear that the danger was too low to be concerned with, and we could have easily related that information to our friends and family. But I digress…

Because I wanted to know exactly how much absorbed radiation 0.69 pCi would be, I searched the Internet and my books and notes for how to convert Curies into an absorbed dose measurement. I couldn’t find one, not until a friend suggested WolframAlpha (which is a really cool website in itself). If you click on that link, you’ll see at the bottom, that it actually has a corresponding quantity in milliGrays, 7.7×10^-14 mGy/hr (milligrays per hour) for a given isotope at 1 meter. When you type into the WolframAlpha search bar: 7.7×10^-14, you find it’s a really small number.

I have a conversion utility on my iPhone that will convert from the various radiation units (Grays, Sieverts, Rads, REM, etc.) that’s really handy for quick calculations. Ignoring the 10^-14 portion of the number, mainly because the conversion app can’t handle numbers that long, if we convert 7.7 mGy, we find that this equates to 0.77 rads. Then you can calculate 0.77×10^-14 and find that it’s 0.0000000000000077 Rads, which is pretty much the same as 0.0000000000000077 REM, or 0.0000000000077 millirems.

Now, look back to the article, “The amount of additional radiation we are seeing in Arizona is less than 0.1 millirem.” I’d say that was an understatement, as the real amount was far less than the figure given. Even if you didn’t know anything about radiation, seeing a number like 0.0000000000077, you instinctively know that it’s a very low amount.

Another issue that really peeved me was that no one was making the distinction that radiation on the inside of your body is much more damaging than when outside your body. Or the fact that even small amounts of Iodine-131 in children is really bad for them. Where was the investigative report that dug into “What You Need To Know” about radiation and children? I didn’t see it, did you?

So, this brings me to the point about this post. How are you to make decisions when you can’t get the information you need from the authorities? Are you simply going to trust them to be forthwith at the appropriate time? I don’t know about you, but I’m not putting the safety of my family in the hands of a bureaucrat.

The first thing you should do is educate yourself. Learn everything that you need to know about a subject and create an informational database that you can reference when you need to. When I first got interested in survival and getting prepared back in the 1980s, my big concern was surviving the Russian nukes (wasn’t everyone’s?). I read everything I could get my hands on, which back then, mainly meant borrowing books from the local library and reading and rereading. Computers weren’t readily available or affordable, so building your database meant either handwriting notes or photocopying.

Today, it’s easier than ever to compile a list of information and store it for offline, online and mobile use, but you still need to have the fundamental understanding of a topic to know how to filter the information that is put out. At the least, you need to know what the missing information is and extrapolate from what’s available.

Equally useful as having a personal offline database is the multitudes of online resources immediately available, assuming you have an Internet connection. However, the sheer volume of sites that provide information is also part of the problem, in that you need a way to quickly assimilate information. My preferred method is using an RSS aggregator. I use NetNewsWire, which is a Mac-only application, but there are many others for both PC and Mac. There’s also Google Reader, if you’re looking for an online RSS reader.

An RSS Aggregator will take the RSS feed of the websites that you normally visit and compile all the articles and posts into one location. You can then quickly scroll through a large number of articles without having to go to each and every website. What used to take me two to three hours of checking out my daily sites, I can now do in an hour or less, depending on how many articles are there since the last time I looked. Most readers have a search feature, so you can search for specific keywords, making it even faster to zero in on information. When you find a new website that you want to monitor, simply add it to your aggregator.

You can even sign up for a service like Instapaper and store any articles there for later reading. This comes in really handy when you want to save articles so you can read them when you have more time. This is what I do while I’m at work. When I get a few minutes free, I will go through the aggregated RSS feeds to keep on top of what’s happening in the world. When I come to an article that I want to read, but don’t have the time right then, I send it to Instapaper and go back to it later.

When a disaster or crisis event happens, you’ll have to make decision based on the information available. As we’ve seen, though, the distinct lack of accurate information can cause you to over-react or under-react. By learning what you can now, developing an offline informational database and creating a system that allows you to parse vast amounts of online information, you will be better able to make decisions for an appropriate response to the situation.

When it comes down to is that you are the only person you can trust to make the best decision for you and your family.

Episode 100 – Interview with The Survival Mom

Here it is.  Episode 100. I suppose there should be some sort of fanfare for this accomplishment, as always seems to accompany such milestones. So here it is:  WEE!

Was that too much? I hope I didn’t overdo it.

Really, though, I’m happy that the podcast made it to Episode #100, but it’s really the listeners that have brought me to this point. Seriously, I wouldn’t have kept doing this podcast if I didn’t know that it was having such a positive affect on people. The emails I get from listeners is what keeps me doing this, as the whole reason I started this podcast was to help other people get prepared.

There have been several times in the past where I’ve considered not recording anymore episodes, but then I would get an email from a listener, saying how much the podcast has helped them, or how the information they got from the podcasts really paid off for them, or helped them to get better prepared. Those are the emails that have kept this podcast going.

So, on this 100th episode, I want to say Thank You! to all the listeners, and especially the ones that have emailed me with their stories.

Thank you for listening and allowing me to come into your life and helping you get better prepared.

Episode 100 has no fanfare in it, but I do interview The Survival Mom, Lisa Bedford, who runs the TheSurivalMom.com website.

(Listen to The Preparedness Podcast on any of your favorite audio players.  Find us in iTunes here: Preparedness Podcast iTunes Link or go to PrepCast.info for direct links to the audio files.)

The Preparedness Podcast – Episode 99 – Potassium Iodide

(Listen to The Preparedness Podcast on any of your favorite audio players.  Find us in iTunes here: Preparedness Podcast iTunes Link or go to PrepCast.info for direct links to the audio files.)

As you may have already heard, there is a plume of radiation headed our way from Japan and should reach the US west coast today. Don’t Panic! As it looks right now,the amount of radiation is very small, however, the real issue may not be how much radiation exists outside your body, but inside it.

In general, the amount of radiation headed our way poses little health risk, but if the any of the particles that are coming here are radioactive iodine-131 (I-131), this can pose an increased threat to the thyroid gland.

In short, the thyroid absorbs iodine from the things we eat and if it absorbs I-131, then there is a concentrated level of radiation in the thyroid. Unless the radiation is (relatively) high, adults aren’t likely to be affected by small amounts; if you’re in your 40s or 50s, you’ll likely die of natural causes before developing any issues from the I-131 you may have ingested. However, children are very susceptible to thyroid damage. Again, DON’T PANIC. There are things you can do to mitigate this if you’re concerned.

If you’ve been following the news, you have probably heard about people talking about taking potassium iodide or potassium iodate ( aka, KI ) as a way to prevent the thyroid of absorbing radioactive iodine-131. While having this is a good thing to have on hand, the radiation levels aren’t high enough to warrant taking KI tablets, at least, not at this time. If the nuclear crisis in Japan worsens, we could see higher levels here in the US.

After the Chernobyl accident, thyroid radiation exposures occurred mainly due to drinking contaminated milk (this contamination was the result of milk cows grazing on fields affected by radioactive fallout) and to a much lesser extent by eating contaminated vegetables.

I don’t know if there is any radioactive iodine in the coming radiation cloud, but since kids’ thyroids are so sensitive to this danger and the solution is easy, there’s little risk or danger in taking this simple and easy precaution.

That action is to buy, at least, several weeks of dairy product, especially milk, now. Milk, yogurt, butter, eggs, etc. Milk can be stored in the freezer without any issues (we’ve done it many times). Vegetables and fruit should be washed well and/or peeled.

Since it generally takes less than 2 days for milk to go from cow to grocery store and pasteurization does not destroy the radiation, you should go out get the dairy products soon. Like, no later than Sunday.

Again, there is no need to panic, but if you’re concerned about the potential radiation coming your way, or don’t want to wait to learn that they misjudged or miscalculated what was in the cloud, I recommend that you take these simple and easy precautionary actions now.

Also, do not think that you can take iodized salt or nutritional iodine supplements in lieu of KI. There is about 15 micrograms of iodine in a teaspoon of salt, and probably in the average supplement. KI tabs have 130 milligrams for adults and 65 milligrams for children. This means you would need to take about 1000 teaspoons of salt or 1000 supplement pills every day. That much salt would kill you.

Another point I want to make is the safety of taking KI tabs, should you ever need to take them. Iodine allergies are rare. If you have an allergy to iodine, you already know about it. The potential side effects of taking KI tabs are no worse than the average OTC medicine, like Tylenol, Benadryl, etc. To me, the bigger issue is taking your KI tabs too soon and not having them when you really need them.

Keep in mind that iodine is commonly used, like in military water purification tablets. I have no idea how much iodine is in these tablets, but the water tastes absolutely awful. Hundreds of thousands or possibly millions of people have drank water treated with iodine.

Pass this along to anyone you know that has children.

UPDATE: DO NOT buy from eBay or Craigslist due to the high probability of fraud.  I found a supplier of KI tabs at BuyEMP.com, which is a very reputable seller of medical and first-aid supplies.  Last I saw this morning, they had some in stock.

The Preparedness Podcast – Episode 98 – Avoid Being Too Narrow-Focused

Like me, I’m sure a lot of people who are preparing that take advantage of current events to focus on certain aspects of their preparedness planning.  For example, the nuclear crisis we’re witnessing in Japan is a good reminder that we need to have radiation detection gear and potassium iodide.  Some of you may be scrambling to buy these things now, in a sudden realization that you have a void area in your prep plan.

While omissions in your preparedness plan need to be taken care of, don’t get so caught up in a single event that you get blindsided by something else.  There are a lot of things happening right now, make sure you’re keeping tabs on all of it. Don’t get too narrow focused.

You may have noticed that there has been a run on the purchasing of radiation meters and potassium iodide tablets. If these are things that you haven’t already thought of getting these before a radiation crisis, now isn’t the time to start looking.  Hopefully, this crisis will pass without the need for them and you’ll be able to fill the hole in your preps in a couple of weeks or so.  However, you should be looking into alternatives, just in case you do need them.

Take the opportunity to learn from this event, re-evaluate your preparedness plan and the gear and supplies you have on hand.  Make plans to take care of getting the things you need as soon as you can, but don’t let yourself forget to keep an eye on the other issues that we’re facing.

(Listen to The Preparedness Podcast on any of your favorite audio players.  Find us in iTunes here: Preparedness Podcast iTunes Link or go to PrepCast.info for direct links to the audio files.)

The Preparedness Podcast – Episode 97 – Thoughts on the nuclear crisis happening in Japan.

Every day the crisis of Japan’s nuclear reactors that were damaged in the earthquake and tsunami gets worse. Currently, one of the reactors is on fire and there’s no way to know how much radiation the reactor is leaking and whether it will stay localized or of it poses a threat to other countries.

If you don’t have potassium iodide or iodate now, good luck finding any.  Probably the only sources available are from the “greedsters” on eBay.  This is why we prepare, so we have the resources available when a disaster or crisis event occurs. Once the event happens, the odds that you’ll be able to get what you need drop to nil.

There is one resource that you can still get, but only because it hasn’t become an issue yet, and that’s powdered milk.  If iodine-131 makes its way over here to the USA and word leaks out about radiation getting into the milk, you’re going to see all of the powdered milk supplies dry up fast.  If you have children and you don’t have a good supply of powdered milk, now is the time to get it.

The Preparedness Podcast – Episode 97 – Thoughts on the nuclear crisis happening in Japan.

(Listen to The Preparedness Podcast on any of your favorite audio players.  Find us in iTunes here: Preparedness Podcast iTunes Link or go to PrepCast.info for direct links to the audio files.)

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